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1 August 2015 Performance of Two Hydrological Models in Predicting Daily Flow under a Climate Change Scenario for Mountainous Catchments in Northwestern Costa Rica
César D. Jiménez-Rodríguez , Julio C. Calvo-Alvarado, John K. Jackson
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Abstract

Tropical mountain regions contain the main headwaters of important rivers in Central America. We selected 2 contrasting catchments located in a mountainous region to evaluate the precision of daily flow estimates based on the Hydrological Land Use Change (HYLUC) and Nedbør-Afstrømnings Model (NAM) hydrological models. A second objective was to simulate the impact of expected climate change for the year 2050 on stream flows and seasonal distribution of rainfall. We studied the catchments of the Tempisquito and Cucaracho streams, located in the Guanacaste volcanic mountain range of Costa Rica, from April 2008 to October 2010. Modeling of discharge using the NAM and HYLUC models suggested difficulties in their calibration due to intrinsic catchment characteristics because of their volcanic origin. The climate change scenario applied in both catchments depicted a strong reduction in discharge. However, the Cucaracho catchment, on the Caribbean slope, is predicted to experience a smaller reduction in discharge than the Tempisquito catchment, located on the Pacific slope.

© 2015 by the authors
César D. Jiménez-Rodríguez , Julio C. Calvo-Alvarado, and John K. Jackson "Performance of Two Hydrological Models in Predicting Daily Flow under a Climate Change Scenario for Mountainous Catchments in Northwestern Costa Rica," Mountain Research and Development 35(3), 240-253, (1 August 2015). https://doi.org/10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-14-00109.1
Received: 1 March 2015; Accepted: 1 April 2015; Published: 1 August 2015
KEYWORDS
Central America
climate change
Guanacaste Conservation Area
HYLUC
NAM
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