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1 June 2011 Measurement Error and Survey Design in Sightability Model Development
Daniel P. Walsh, Henry Campa, Dean E. Beyer, Scott R. Winterstein
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Abstract

Measurement error of explanatory variables used in sightability models can result in biased population estimates and associated measures of precision. We developed a Monte Carlo simulation procedure that can be implemented within the sightability model framework when measurement error is present. Additionally, we developed simulation and sample survey methods, for determining the optimal allocation of survey effort to maximize precision of population estimates for a fixed survey cost, when a complete survey of a study area is not feasible. We used data from aerial surveys of elk during 2004–2006 in Michigan to demonstrate the application of these techniques. By accounting for measurement error and applying appropriate survey design practices, managers employing sightability models may be able to generate more accurate and cost-effective population estimates and accompanying measures of precision than is possible if these techniques are ignored.

© 2011 The Wildlife Society.
Daniel P. Walsh, Henry Campa, Dean E. Beyer, and Scott R. Winterstein "Measurement Error and Survey Design in Sightability Model Development," Journal of Wildlife Management 75(5), 1228-1235, (1 June 2011). https://doi.org/10.1002/jwmg.158
Received: 25 May 2010; Accepted: 8 November 2010; Published: 1 June 2011
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KEYWORDS
Cervus elaphus
elk
group size
Horvitz—Thompson estimator
measurement error
optimal allocation
sightability models
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