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4 November 2020 Marine Economic Prediction Based on Mathematical Models
Yuqiu Ma, Qiong Wang, Xiaolong Bai, Gang Chen
Author Affiliations +
Abstract

Ma, Y.; Wang, Q.; Bai; X., and Chen, G., 2020. Marine Economic Prediction Based on Mathematical Models. In: Li, L. and Huang, X. (eds.), Sustainable Development in Coastal Regions: A Perspective of Environment, Economy, and Technology. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 112, pp. 224-227. Coconut Creek (Florida), ISSN 0749-0208.

The mathematical forecasting model has the characteristics of low data requirements, but high accuracy and good effect on medium and short-term forecasts. Its application range is very wide. Based on the marine economic data from 2010 to 2014, establish the mathematics of the marine economic added value. The model was tested and verified to prove that the model was available, and the marine economic added value was predicted. By comparing the predicted value with the initial value data, it was found that the added value did not match the increase of the marine production added value. The rate of increase in value is slower than that of marine production, which shows that when attracting marine economic talents, capital, technology, etc., the corresponding marine scientific research, education, and management services are not paid enough attention. Neither the absolute amount nor the relative proportion does not match. Finally, conclusions and suggestions are given.

©Coastal Education and Research Foundation, Inc. 2020
Yuqiu Ma, Qiong Wang, Xiaolong Bai, and Gang Chen "Marine Economic Prediction Based on Mathematical Models," Journal of Coastal Research 112(sp1), 224-227, (4 November 2020). https://doi.org/10.2112/JCR-SI112-062.1
Received: 30 June 2020; Accepted: 3 August 2020; Published: 4 November 2020
KEYWORDS
forecast
GM(l,1)
industrial added value
Marine economy
mathematical model
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