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22 February 2018 Insights About Head Lice Transmission From Field Data and Mathematical Modeling
Ariel Ceferino Toloza, María Fabiana Laguna, Isabel Ortega-Insaurralde, Claudia Vassena, Sebastián Risau-Gusman
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Abstract

Head lice infest millions of school-age children every year, both in developed and developing countries. However, little is known about the number of lice transferred among children during school activities, because direct methods to study this are almost impossible to implement. This issue has been addressed following an indirect method, which consist in collecting data of real infestation from several children groups and using a mathematical model of lice colonies to infer how the infestation observed might have evolved. By determining the events that would most likely lead to infestations as those observed, we find that severe infestations are most likely initiated by a relatively large number of lice transferred at the same moment or within relatively short time spans. In turn, analysis of the data obtained from screenings of the same groups of children a few days apart shows evidence of such transmission events. Interestingly, only children with severe infestations could harbor the lice necessary for this type of transmission.Thus, they play the same role as ‘superspreaders' in epidemiology. As part of our experimental study it is also shown that a simple procedure of combing can be very effective to remove all mobile lice, and thus could be used as an effective preventive measure against those severe infestations that are responsible for the spread of pediculosis.

© The Author(s) 2018. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Entomological Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.
Ariel Ceferino Toloza, María Fabiana Laguna, Isabel Ortega-Insaurralde, Claudia Vassena, and Sebastián Risau-Gusman "Insights About Head Lice Transmission From Field Data and Mathematical Modeling," Journal of Medical Entomology 55(4), 929-937, (22 February 2018). https://doi.org/10.1093/jme/tjy026
Received: 11 August 2017; Accepted: 27 January 2018; Published: 22 February 2018
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KEYWORDS
Argentina
epidemiology
mathematical model
Pediculus humanus capitis
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