Changes in autumn raptor migration phenology have been documented at hawk count sites across North America. Delays in autumn migration are the most common shift reported, but these changes vary by species. We examined autumn raptor phenology and changes in count effort for 14 raptor species over 46 yr at Hawk Ridge in Duluth, Minnesota, USA, using mean passage date. Among the 14 raptors, six species showed significant shifts in migration phenology; four toward later migration and two toward earlier migration. Our results suggest fewer species are shifting toward later phenology than previously reported at Hawk Ridge and that some previously reported changes in phenology may be explained by changes in survey effort. This study highlights the importance of controlling for count effort when analyzing migration phenology, emphasizing the need for consistent effort in the future.
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6 May 2022
Changes in Survey Effort Can Influence Conclusions about Migration Phenology
Ryan Steiner,
Gerald Niemi,
Frank Nicoletti,
Mary Jane Evans,
Edmund Zlonis,
Matthew A. Etterson
Journal of Raptor Research
Vol. 56 • No. 2
June 2022
Vol. 56 • No. 2
June 2022
climate change
Hawk Ridge
migration
phenology
raptors
survey effort