D. P. Shutt,^1,* D. W. Goodsman,^2,3,* K. Martinez,^1,* Z. J. L. Hemez,⁴ J. R. Conrad,^1,5 C. Xu,² D. Osthus,⁶ C. Russell,⁷ J. M. Hyman,⁸ C.A. Manore<sup>2,**

1</sup>Information Systems and Modeling, Los Alamos National Laboratory, P.O. Box 1663, Los Alamos, NM 87545, USA
²Earth and Environmental Sciences, Los Alamos National Laboratory, P.O. Box 1663, Los Alamos, NM 87545, USA
³Natural Resources Canada, Northern Forestry Centre, 5320 122 St NW, Edmonton, AB T6H 3S5, Canada
⁴Computational Physics Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory, P.O. Box 1663, Los Alamos, NM 87545, USA
⁵Theoretical Biology and Biophysics, Los Alamos National Laboratory, P.O. Box 1663, Los Alamos, NM 87545, USA
⁶Statistical Sciences, Los Alamos National Laboratory, P.O. Box 1663, Los Alamos, NM 87545, USA
⁷Public Health Ontario, Canada
⁸Department of Mathematics, Tulane University, 6823 St Charles Ave, New Orleans, LA 70118, USA

^*These authors contributed equally
^**Corresponding author, email: cmanore@lanl.gov