David E. Brown, Raymond M. Lee, John N. Carr, Curtis Herbert, Matthew Peirce, Dawn Langston
Journal of the Arizona-Nevada Academy of Science 49 (2), 38-42, (21 February 2022) https://doi.org/10.2181/036.049.0202
We monitored the persistence of a remnant population of pronghorn (Antilocapra americana) near Hillside, AZ, over an 11-year period from May 2008 through December 21, 2019. Originally consisting of three bucks, two does, and one female yearling, the last pregnant doe was seen March 13, 2014, and the last fawn was seen on November 10, 2014. Only one buck was seen after June 17, 2014, and no males after July 7, 2018. The last pronghorn seen were three does on a follow-up survey April 3, 2021. Although the possibility exists of animals immigrating or emigrating from the 78 km2 study area, we did not document such behavior during our study. With no overt attempts at management the population doubled, before losing four animals following a May 2014 Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) of -4.09. The persistence of this population through 2021 is attributed to low adult mortality and a greater recruitment of females than males. The low percentage of available habitat utilized suggests an adequate carrying capacity. The disappearance of this population is attributed to inbreeding depression and low recruitment due to genetic bottle-necking. The Hillside population was too small and too isolated to survive without periodic translocations. Although we frequently observed coyotes during our surveys, predation was not considered the principal factor in the population's demise.