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17 December 2020 An Empirical Study on the Impact of Seaports on Urban Economic Development Based on VAR Model: The Case of Shenzhen and Shenzhen Port in the Context of Industrial Transfer
Dezhi Guo, Preng-Nien Hu, Feifan Li, Hanchen Wang, Guowei Chen
Author Affiliations +
Abstract

Guo, D.; Hu, P.-N.; Li, F.; Wang, H., and Chen, G., 2020. An empirical study on the impact of seaports on urban economic development based on VAR model: The case of Shenzhen and Shenzhen Port in the context of industrial transfer. In: Liu, X. and Zhao, L. (eds.), Today's Modern Coastal Society: Technical and Sociological Aspects of Coastal Research. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 111, pp. 204–208. Coconut Creek (Florida), ISSN 0749-0208.

This paper is based on the analysis of ports as urban economic system that depict the overall impact of a port on the function mechanism of urban economy. Taking Shenzhen Port as an example, cargo handled at the seaports of Shenzhen, gross domestic product of Shenzhen, and the number of employed persons of Shenzhen, respectively, were chosen to build the vector autoregressive VAR model and to analyze the two sets of variables based on the impulse response and variance decomposition. The study shows that the economic development of Shenzhen has obvious stage characteristics on the development of the port, that it produces certain negative benefits, that the interaction between the two is not obvious, and that the current development of Shenzhen Port is in urgent need of transformation and repositioning.

©Coastal Education and Research Foundation, Inc. 2020
Dezhi Guo, Preng-Nien Hu, Feifan Li, Hanchen Wang, and Guowei Chen "An Empirical Study on the Impact of Seaports on Urban Economic Development Based on VAR Model: The Case of Shenzhen and Shenzhen Port in the Context of Industrial Transfer," Journal of Coastal Research 111(sp1), 204-208, (17 December 2020). https://doi.org/10.2112/JCR-SI111-035.1
Received: 23 March 2020; Accepted: 16 July 2020; Published: 17 December 2020
KEYWORDS
China
Granger test
ports
regional economy
urban economy
VAR Model
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